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Resolution No. 2010-148RESOLUTION NO. 2010-148 A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF VERNON APPROVING AND ADOPTING THE RESOURCE ADEQUACY PLAN FOR 2011, WHICH INCLUDES THE DEMAND FORECAST, THE PLANNING RESERVE MARGIN, THE QUALIFYING CAPACITY CRITERIA, AND THE SUPPLY PLAN, IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE CALIFORNIA INDEPENDENT SYSTEM OPERATOR'S TARIFF REQUIREMENTS WHEREAS, the City of Vernon (the "City") is a chartered municipal corporation of the State of California that owns and operates a system for the generation, purchase, transmission, distribution and sale of electric capacity and energy; and WHEREAS, the City has executed a Metered Subsystem Agreement ("MSS Agreement") with the California Independent System Operator ("CAISO"); and WHEREAS, the City is considered a Load Serving Entity ("LSE") under certain terms of the CAISO's Tariff ("Tariff"); and WHEREAS, the Tariff requires each LSE to establish and submit to CAISO an annual Resource Adequacy Plan, which includes a Demand Forecast, a Reserve Margin, Qualifying Capacity Criteria, and a Supply Plan; and WHEREAS, the Tariff requires each LSE to submit monthly Resource Adequacy Plans and Supply Plans; and WHEREAS, the City has reviewed the historical and expected demand for and supplies of electricity within its distribution system, including the likely peak demand for electricity within the City's distribution system throughout 2011, the available generation and other capacity to serve that demand, and constraints which might impact the availability of capacity to serve the City's projected peak demand; and WHEREAS, based upon that review, the City finds that the peak demand for electricity within the City's distribution system throughout 2011 is likely to experience load growth of approximately 1.0% as compared to the same months of the prior year; and WHEREAS, based upon that review, the City finds that the default 15% Reserve Margin set forth in the Resource Adequacy provisions of the MRTU Tariff is sufficient for planning purposes; and WHEREAS, based upon that review, the City finds that the Qualifying Capacity Criteria specified in the City of Vernon Demand Forecast for 2011, Planning Reserve Margin, Qualifying Capacity Criteria and Annual Resource Adequacy and Supply Plan are sufficient and appropriate to be used in determining the amount of Qualifying Capacity needed to meet the City's projected peak monthly demand and 15% Reserve Margin. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF VERNON AS FOLLOWS: SECTION 1: The City Council of the City of Vernon hereby finds and determines that the recitals contained hereinabove are true and correct. SECTION 2: The City Council of the City of Vernon hereby approves and adopts the Light & Power Department Resource Adequacy Plan for Calendar Year 2011 (the "Annual Resource Adequacy Plan"), which includes the Demand Forecast, the Planning Reserve Margin, the Qualifying Capacity Criteria, and the Supply Plan, which is attached hereto as Exhibit A. SECTION 3: The City Council of the City of Vernon hereby authorizes the Light & Power Department to submit to CAISO the Annual Resource Adequacy Plan. 2 SECTION 4; The City Council of the City of Vernon hereby authorizes the Light & Power Department to submit Resource Adequacy Plans and Supply Plans prepared in conformity with the Annual Resource Adequacy Plan to the CAISO on a monthly basis as requested by CAISO. The data to be included in the monthly Resource Adequacy Plans and the Supply Plans may be adjusted for seasonal variations as well as load and resource changes. SECTION 5: The City Clerk of the City of Vernon shall certify to the passage, approval and adoption of this resolution, and the City Clerk of the City of Vernon shall cause this resolution and the City Clerk's certification to be entered in the File of Resolutions of the Council of this City. APPROVED AND ADOPTED this 1st day of November, 2010. ATT T: Willard G. am uch City Clerk Name: Hilar,io Gonzales Title: Mayor /,,McLyur _3_ STATE OF CALIFORNIA ) ) ss COUNTY OF LOS ANGELES ) I, Willard G. Yamaguchi, City Clerk of the City of Vernon, do hereby certify that the foregoing Resolution, being Resolution No. 2010-148, was duly passed, approved and adopted by the City Council of the City of Vernon at a regular meeting of the City Council duly held on Monday, November 1, 2010, and thereafter was duly signed by the Mayor or Mayor Pro-Tem of the City of Vernon. Executed this A- day of November, 2010, at Vernon, California. 4illar4d G: m guc City Clerk (SEAL) 4 EXHIBIT A City of Vernon Light & Power Department Resource Adequacy Plan Calendar 2011 Demand Forecast for 2011 Planning Reserve Margin And Qualifying Capacity Criteria BackLyround: The Resource Adequacy provisions of the CAISO's MRTU Tariff require the Scheduling Coordinator ("SC") of a Load Serving Entity ("LSE") to establish and submit the following: (1) coincident peak Demand Forecast for Vernon's load (2) Reserve Margin for planning purposes, (3) Qualifying Capacity Criteria for determining qualifying resource types and the Qualifying Capacity from such resources, (4) annual and monthly Resource Adequacy Plan on the CAISO approved templates, and (5) identify the Resource Adequacy Resources that will be counted on to satisfy the City's Local Capacity Requirement. These requirements must be set and approved by the LSE's Local Regulatory Authority. Therefore, the City Council of the City of Vernon as the Local Regulatory Authority needs to establish (1) the coincident peak Demand Forecast for Vernon's load, (2) the Reserve Margin for planning purposes, (3) Qualifying Capacity Criteria for determining qualifying resource types and the Qualifying Capacity.for such resources, and (4) approve the City's Resource Adequacy, Supply Plan and Local Area Capacity templates to be submitted to the ISO. Staff has compiled a coincident peak Demand Forecast for 2011 based upon historical load data and projections as to future load growth, as set forth below. Staff also recommends that Vernon retain the same 15% Reserve Margin for planning purposes and the criteria for determining eligible resources and calculating Qualifying Capacity. Vernon will then be responsible for periodically providing the CAISO with a required Resource Adequacy Plan that takes into account the established new coincident peak Demand Forecast, the Planning Reserve Margin, and the Resource Adequacy criteria established by the City Council. Coincident Peak Demand Forecast: Vernon's municipal load resides within the CAISO control area. The CAISO, as the control area operator, has the responsibility for meeting reliability criteria established by the Western Electricity Coordinating Council("WECC"). As such the CAISO has entered into agreements with various market participants including, but not limited to, Generators, Scheduling Coordinators, Participating Transmission Owners, Utility Distribution Companies, and Metered Subsystems ("MSS"), which impose certain responsibilities on 3 parties to establish a reliable system. One of those responsibilities is to have operating reserves that meet the WECC minimum requirements. The CAISO's goal in considering reserve requirements is to balance available capacity with demand across the entire CAISO control area and, therefore, CAISO's primary concern is with the time and amount of peak demand on the CAISO-controlled transmission system (the "system peak"). In order to reduce demand during the period of the system peak (and, therefore, to lower the peak demand on the transmission system), utilities generally offer retail rate structures designed to encourage load shifting away from the on -peak period. Such efforts are intended to achieve on -peak demand reduction and lower the need to build new generation to meet peak demand. Vernon has adopted such a rate structure and has succeeded in shifting the peak demand period for Vernon's system to a time that is generally earlier than the time of the CAISO system peak. Vernon's share of needed capacity to meet CAISO control area requirements may be established by determining the amount of Vernon's load that contributes to the CAISO system peak. The coincident peak Demand Forecast (forecast of Vernon's coincidental peak demand relative to the CAISO monthly peak demand) for Vernon is developed by first forecasting Vernon's peak load for each month without regard to the time of day, and then applying a coincidental peak factor to reflect the portion of Vernon's peak load that contributes to the CAISO's control area peak demand. The monthly coincident peak Demand Forecast is, therefore, the monthly product of Vernon System peak demand forecast and the coincidental peak factor as further described below. 1. Monthly Vernon System Peak Demand Forecast for 2011 The proposed monthly Vernon System peak demand forecast was developed based on the analysis of Vernon's historical and projected load growth. Vernon has experienced an average decrease in Peak Demand of 0.3 % (Exhibit 3) over the last five years. Therefore, Vernon's projected system peak demand is based on a 0.3% load decrease. The resulting projected system peak demand for Vernon is shown below in Table 1. Table 1 Projected Load 2011 MW January 174.2 February 175.8 March 176.8 April 182.5 May 179.7 June 184.6 July 188.9 August 194.0 September 188.7 October 181.8 November 181.7 December 176.5 2. Establish Coincidental Peak Factor The coincidental peak factor is the ratio between Vernon's demand at the time of the CAISO control area's peak demand and Vernon's peak demand for the month. As set forth in Section 40 of the MRTU Tariff, the coincidental peak factor for each month has been provided by the California Energy Commission (CEC) and is shown in Exhibit 2. 3. Monthly Coincident Peak Demand Forecast The monthly coincident peak Demand Forecast is the product of Vernon's System peak demand and the coincidental peak factor. The product reflects Vernon's projected demand at the time of the CAISO control area's peak for each of the individual months. Exhibit 2 provides the calculation of Vernon's projected coincident peak Demand Forecast for the period of January through December 2011. It is recommended that the coincident peak Demand Forecast contained in Exhibit 2 and as shown below in Table 2 be approved. Table 2 Demand Forecast 2011 MW January 146.3 February 143.3 March 144.1 April 166.1 May 163.5 June 169.8 July 173.8 August 178.5 September 173.6 October 163.6 November 150.8 December 145.5 Reserve Margin for Planning Purposes It is recommended that a Reserve Margin of 15% be adopted for planning purposes as set forth in Section 40of the MRTU Tariff. Qualifying Capacity: It is recommended that the following criteria be approved for determining the type of resources that may be eligible to provide Qualifying Capacity and for calculating Qualifying Capacity for such eligible resource types. 1. The existing power supply contract through the WSPP Agreement (MRTU Amendment) which is under a "CAISO IST-enabled product". This contract was entered into in September 2010 and shall be eligible to count as Qualifying Capacity through 2011. The amount of Qualifying Capacity is 25 MW. a 2. Vernon Purchase Power Contract with SCPPA for 4.9% of SCPPA's share of Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station (Palo Verde) shall be eligible as Qualifying Capacity. The power is scheduled as an import generally at Westwing Substation through the CAISO's entitlement of transmission from Westwing to SP-15. 3. Contract NO DE-MS65-86WP39587 between United States Department of Energy Western Area Power Administration Boulder Canyon Project and City of Vernon, California for Electric Service shall be eligible to count as Qualifying Capacity. The power is scheduled as an import at Mead Substation generally through the CAISO's entitlement of transmission from Mead Substation to SP-15. The amount of Qualifying Capacity will be based on the most current schedule for the available capacity from the Boulder Canyon Project at the time of submittal of the Resource Adequacy Plan. 4. Generating units and system units (but excluding Vernon diesel generating units) within Vernon's MSS, as reflected in Schedule 14 of Vernon's MSS Agreement with CAISO shall be eligible to count as Qualifying Capacity. The amount of Qualifying Capacity of such units will be based on the projected dependable gross output capacity on a day when the ambient air temperature is 90 degrees Fahrenheit. 5. All other capacity from a Participating Generator, a System Unit, or a System Resource, as defined in the CAISO Tariff, shall be eligible as Qualifying Capacity. System Resources, however, must have a firm transmission path from source to the CAISO control area. Such criteria for firm transmission facilities over the CAISO control area can be satisfied with the possession of a Firm Transmission Right from the CAISO on the path associated with the System Resource. Firm Transmission Rights provide physical priority right to schedule over congested paths. 6. Interruptible Service Agreements with the City's Electrical customers. Currently Vernon has an Interruptible Service Agreement where the customer agrees to interrupt 12.65 MW of load within a 30 minute notification. A period of interruption 7 can occur upon notification from the Independent System Operator (ISO) requiring the City to shed load or upon the unscheduled outage of the Malburg Generating Station ("MGS") or any other generating unit internal to the City's system. The following scheduled outage criteria should be used for determining the level of Qualifying Capacity ("QC") of any resource. Scheduled Outages Time Period Description of How Qualifying Capacity of Resources Is Counted Summer Any month where days of scheduled outages exceed 25% of days in the May month, the resource cannot be counted as Qualifying Capacity. If through scheduled outages are less than or equal to 25% of the`days in the September month, the resource is counted as Qualifying Capacity. For scheduled outages of less than 1 week, the resource is counted as Qualifying Capacity. Non -Summer Months For scheduled outages of 1 week to 2 weeks, the Qualifying Capacity of the resource is prorated using the formula: October [ 1 - (days of scheduled outage/days in month) - 0.25] * MW = QC through The formula will allow resources to be counted at between 50% and April 25% of what would otherwise be their Qualifying Capacity. For scheduled outages over 2 weeks, the resource cannot be counted as Qualifying Capacity. Conclusion: 1. Recommend approval of the following coincident peak Demand Forecast for 2011 as follows: Demand Forecast 2011 MW January 146.3 February 143.3 March 144.1 April 166.1 May 163.5 June 169.8 July 173.8 August 178.5 September 173.6 October 163.6 November 150.8 December4 145.5 2. Recommend approval of a 15% Reserve Margin for planning purposes. 3. Recommend approval of the above stated Qualifying Capacity Criteria. G!x Annual Resource Adequacy Plan 2011 0 N rn m CL c , () o cia.oc fOE��a) 6 0 p O m> m (UO O C C CL O C O CL a) O �- O mcu c E m O cu a) COO Vcu y=d T O O CU UM a) N E a O. En 'CO _O Q a o a N O cio�p Em c �a 0za-� mc m c m c0 c ca > > c � 4 cr .- n a) oiaa�77 T CT) N .G Q U Ul 0 7 0 7 U N 0 QQU L) .'C.+ C O 0 0 O Q w 0 O C = N a) a a) ,c C fn _ a) O T d aa) N U w co C O~ 7 N d �V N--0 Q C O r'C-. 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IL Annual Resource Adequacy Plan Exhibits 2011 Exhibit 1 Ja ary through December 2011 Projected Load Month 2009-2010 (Actual City System Peak Load) 2011 Projected System Peak Load (A) (B) (C 1 January '10 174.71 174.18 2 Februa '10 176.36 175.83 3 March '10 177.31 176.78 4 April '10 183.06 182.51 5 Ma '10 180.24 179.70 6 June'10 185.15 184.59 7 July '10 189.47 188.90 8 Au ust '10 194.59 194.00 9 September'10 189.27 188.70 10 October'09 182.35 181.80 11 November'09 182.24 181.69 12 December '09 177.07 176.54 A Month B Source: (City Historical System Peak Load Data) C 0.3% Projected Load Loss for Vernon Exhibit 2 January through December 2011 Resource Adequacy Requirement Projected Load Coincidental Peak Factor Coincident Peak Demand Forecast RA Capacity Requirement (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) 1 January 174.2 84.0% 146.3 168.3 2 February.175.8 81.5% 143.3 164.8 3 March 176.8 81.5% 144.1 165.7 4 April 182.5 91.0% 166.1 191.0 5 May 179.7 91.0% 163.5 188.1 6 June 184.6 92.0% 169.8 195.3 7 July 188.9 92.0% 173.8 199.9 8 August 194.0 92.0% 178.5 205.3 9 September 188.7 92.0% 173.6 199.6 10 October 181.8 90.0% 163.6 188.2 11 November 181.7 83.0% 150.8 173.4 12 December 176.5 82.4% : 145.5 167.3 A Month B Source: (Exhibit 1 Column E) C Source: CEC D Product of B and C E Product of D and 115% (115% reflects Planning Reserve Margin) Exhibit 3 Five year Sytem Peak Demand Load Growth Peak % Inc./Dec. (A (B) {C 1 2006 197.3 2 2007 206.3 4.5677/. 3 2008 203.8 -1.226% 4 2009 196.6 -3.509% 51 2010 194.6 -1.037% 6 Avera a 199.7 -0.3% A Year B Source: (City Historical Sytem Peak Load Data) C % Increase from previous year. Annual Supply Plan January 2011 Annual Supply plan Jan 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Jan 2011.xis Confidential- Annual Supply Plan February 2011 Annual Supply plan Feb 2011.As-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Feb 2011.xis-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan March 2011 Annual Supply plan Mar 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Mar 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan April 2011 Annual Supply plan Apr 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Apr 2011.As-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan May 2011 Annual Supply plan May 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan May 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan June 2011 Annual Supply plan Jun 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Jun 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan July 2011 Annual Supply plan Jul 2011.xis-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Jul 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan August 2011 Annual Supply plan Aug 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Aug 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply Plan September 2011 Annual Supply plan Sept 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Sept 2011.As Confidential- Annual Supply Plan October 2011 Annual Supply plan Oct 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Supply plan Oct 2011.x1s Confidential- Annual Supply Plan November 2011 Annual Supply plan Nov 2011.xls -Confidential Annual Supply plan Nov 2011.As -Confidential Annual Supply Plan December 2011 Annual Supply plan Dec 2011.xis Confidential- Annual Supply plan Dec 2011.xls-Confidential- Annual Local Capacity Area Template 2011 \ CL c @ k § R £ 7 � ■ £ .E � « E§Z ))� \\� /CUU) «0 x�a�r $18 ® �)£oa m0 §§ Oo \ / ALL � 0 p g -00 ) /0 �mG Eg§=S a) §:, U)MCc m+\§{ �Eo-) 0U/M\ f/e§J cc �Aa=a %o EE _m cc k]CL r \o]Q£ k/\ ƒ C �\E£E ;R{)§a$EQ7 ƒ[ p a»m 0 k) k �7/2 R3� )� � f m / co £ f k / . . m3�ƒm# cc m §fc :3wE . fui §#r -�§ Co )tSjL«- -mao£2 �v »=»:52« )% )j\a2\ o==� w c�\ {k)(k �_ k§2 °\2ko U) -J ; ��\o3Co § §° .2 u ] 2 E 0 a>ee'a° , E km\\§/ § An . 0 0/e-0§o to �\o 2 k &:3-w= - E .J ae_- /) {) ak o k CO:5 (D $ -J= —0 § ` ' e f ) /\D 2 0 CL ƒ 2 / k \ § a. 2 k 7 m Local Capacity Area Resource Template Page 1 of 1 SUMMARY elist5�hb1u n iu me Tap must b� red b e�aohLF� �'� y Data Labels Below: Don't Delete LA Basin Big CreekfVentura San Diego Greater Bay Area Other PG&E Areas Tab: Summary L QQ N R' A 0 Q G O U O c_ N 0 !1 7 O N 0 R' 10 u .y T L a CITY CLERK'S OFFICE INTEROFFICE MEMORANDUM DATE: November 3, 2010 TO Carlos Fandino, Director of Light & Power FROM: Willard Yamaguchi, City Clerk RE: Resolution No. 2010-148 A Resolution of the City Council of the City of Vernon Approving and Adopting the Resource Adequacy Plan for 2011, Which Includes the Demand Forecast, the Planning Reserve Margin, the Qualifying Capacity Criteria, and the Supply Plan, in Accordance With the California Independent System Operator's Tariff Requirements Transmitted herewith is a copy of Resolution No. 2010-148 referenced above, which was approved by City Council on November 1, 2010. Thank you. WY:dj Attachment c: Resolution No. 2010448 RECEIVED OCT 1 3 2010 CITY CLERK'S OFFICE STAFF REPORT LIGHT & POWER DATE: October 12, 2010 TO: Honorable Mayor and City Council �3 FROM: Carlos R. Fandino Jr., Director of Light & Power RE: Annual Resource Adequacy Report and Supply Plan f To be placed on the October 18t", 2010 City Council Agenda With the implementation of the CAISO's Market Redesign and Technology Upgrade ("MRTU") on April 1, 2009, the Resource Adequacy provisions set forth in Section 40 of the MRTU Tariff supersede the requirements of the Interim Reliability Requirement Program ("IRR Program"). The Resource Adequacy provisions of the MRTU Tariff require the Scheduling Coordinator ("SC") of a Load Serving Entity ("LSE") to establish and submit the following: (1) coincident peak Demand Forecast for Vernon's load (2) Reserve Margin for planning purposes, (3) Qualifying Capacity Criteria for determining qualifying resource types and the Qualifying Capacity from such resources, (4) Annual and monthly Resource Adequacy Plan on the CAISO approved templates, and (5) identify the Resource Adequacy Resources that will be counted on to satisfy the City's Local Capacity Requirement. These requirements must be set and approved by the LSE's Local Regulatory Authority. Therefore, the City Council of the City of Vernon as the Local Regulatory Authority needs to establish (1) the coincident peak Demand Forecast for Vernon"s load, (2) the Reserve Margin for planning purposes, (3) Qualifying Capacity Criteria for determining qualifying resource types and the Qualifying Capacity for such resources, and (4) approve the City's Resource Adequacy Plan, Supply Plan and Local Area Capacity templates to be submitted to the ISO annually and monthly. In order to comply with the CAISO's Tariff requirement, staff has prepared and requests Council's authorization to submit the attached documents containing the following information: (1) coincident peak Demand Forecast for Vernon's load (2) Reserve Margin for planning purposes, (3) Qualifying Capacity Criteria for determining qualifying resource types and the Qualifying Capacity from such resources, and (4) Annual Resource Adequacy Plan, Supply Plan, and Local Area Capacity Templates. Honorable Mayor and City Council October 12, 2010 Page 2 RECOMMENDATIONS Staff requests the City Council approve: (1) the coincident peak Demand Forecast for 2011,(2) retain the same 15% Reserve Margin, (3) approve Qualifying Capacity Criteria as stated on the "City of Vernon Light & Power Department Demand Forecast for 2011 Planning Reserve Margin and Qualifying Capacity Criteria" document, and (4)-the attached Annual Resource Plan, Supply Plan and Local Area Capacity Templates for 2011. In addition to the Annual RA plan, staff requests the City Council to approve submittal of Monthly RA Plans and Supply Plans in substantially the same form as attached. The data to be submitted on the monthly reports will be consistent with the Annual RA Plan once approved by Council and may be adjusted for seasonal variations as well as load and resource changes. The Annual Plan is due to the ISO once a year while the monthly report is due two months prior to -the beginning of the month. FISCAL IMPACT There is no known fiscal impact. CF:AA: rmt Attachments �� P +r OCT 13 Z010 Eg&CEIVED Light & Power Department caycon OFFICE Date: October 12, 2010 4� 1� To: Carlos Fandino Director of Light and Power From: Abraham Alemu A- � A - Resource Planning & Development Manager SUBJECT: Annual Resource Adequacy and Supply Plan Attached for your review and approval is the Resource Adequacy and Supply Plan for Calendar Year 2011. Staff requests this matter to be addressed on the October 18t", 2010 Council meeting. CF:AA Attachments C: Abraham Alemu Document Control