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Rosemead Boulevard, Suite 150 Pasadena, California 91107 Re: FOCUSED REFINED HEALTH RISK ASSESSMENT OF POTENTIAL HOUSING SITES IN VERNON, CALIFORNIA Dear Ms. Stetson: PCR Services Corporation (PCR), under contract to Hogle-Ireland, submits this health risk assessment (HRA) to evaluate the potential impacts from proposed updates to the Housing Element for the City of Vernon. A health risk assessment (HRA) was performed to determine the suitability of developing housing at three identified locations. It is important to note that people living in urbanized areas of the South Coast Air Basin, such as Vernon, are subject to toxic air contaminants (TACs) exposure from a variety of sources, originating both near to and at some distance from residential land uses. Examples include industrial processes (manufacturing, refining, electricity generation, etc.), fugitive sources (solvent use, paint and coating application, etc.), and transportation (off -shore shipping lanes, on -road trucks and personal vehicles, rail, off -highway construction equipment, etc.). Specifically, this report evaluates the difference in potential negative health effects from exposure to localized sources of airborne TACs of the three sites. The HRA-identified sources of toxic air contaminants (TACs) within '/a mile of each housing site using the SCAQMD Facility Information Detail (FIND) database, aerial photo search, and field surveys performed by PCR. Large sources of TACs outside of the '/a mile radius were also included such as the BNSF/UP rail yard, the Alameda Corridor and the I-710 freeway. Results of the analysis indicate that residents at the proposed housing sites will be exposed to cancer risk levels below the SCAQMD cancer burden threshold of 0.5 persons likely to develop cancer. However, due to the proximity to the I-710 Freeway, Alameda Corridor and the BNSF/UP rail yards, it is recommended that residential uses install enhanced filtration systems and transitional housing. or homeless shelters include inoperable windows in addition to filtration systems into building design to reduce exposure. The attached exhibit provides additional technical details regarding toxics air emissions inventory and cancer risk calculations for the three proposed residential sites. Ms, Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 2 Should you have any questions please feel free to contact me at (626) 204-6170 or h.rous&crnet.com. Sincerely,. PPCCjR SERVICES CORPORATION lra h.6tua Heidi Rous, CPP Principal/Director of Air Quality, Climate & Acoustic Services Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. 0 October 15, 2012 - Page 1 INTRODUCTION The City of Vernon (City) is interested in identifying areas within Vernon suitable for future residential land use development. The City is in the process of updating its General Plan to allow for an increase in residential development, and Hogle-Ireland will prepare the appropriate analysis under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). Thus, potential impacts related to health risks of allowing future residential uses to be developed in the environmental setting of Vernon need to be assessed. PCR proposed a two -phased approach to these siting studies: (1) a constraints analysis and (2) a focused refined HRA. This submittal is the second phase of the siting studies. PROJECT SETTING The City of Vernon is an industrial city of 5.2 square miles located southeast of Downtown Los Angeles in Southern California. Founded in 1905 as the first exclusively industrial city in the Southwestern United States, Vernon currently houses more than 1,800 businesses that employ approximately 50,000 people. Vernon is the home to industries including food and agriculture, apparel, steel, plastics, logistics and home furnishings.' According to the 2010 census, Vernon has a residential population of approximately 112 people? CANDIDATE SITES The City has identified two locations within Vernon as candidate site for single- or multi -family residential development, and one site for potential California Senate Bill 2 (SB2) zoning (allowing homeless shelters or transitional housing to be developed). These candidate sites are listed in Table 1, Candidate Sites, and shown in Figure 1, City of Vernon Housing Element — Potential Housing Sites, attached. As shown, the sites vary in size from approximately 0.5 acre to slightly over three acres. Out of the three locations, one is privately owned, two are publically owned. ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING Management of air quality in the South Coast Air Basin (Basin) is the responsibility of the South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD). As part of the SCAQMD's environmental justice initiatives adopted in late 1997, the SCAQMD has assessed background cancer risks in the Basin. The SCAQMD conducted the Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study (MATES) III between April 2004 and March 2006, with a Final Report issued in September 2008. MATES III was a follow-up to the previous MATES I and II air toxics studies. The MATES III study was based on actual monitored data throughout the Basin and consisted of several elements. These included a monitoring program, an updated emissions inventory of TACs, and a modeling effort to characterize carcinogenic risk across the Basin from exposure to TACs. The MATES III study applied a 2-kilometer (1.24-mile) grid over the Basin and reported carcinogenic risk within each grid space ' bttp://www.cityofvemon.org/about—vemon/; Accessed March 22, 2012 s http://www.cubitplanning.com/city/16800-vemon-city-census-2010-population, Accessed March 22, 2012 Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 2 No.(See Figure 1) Address 1 4459 E. 52-d Drive Vernon, CA 90040 2 4675 E. 52nd Drive Vernon, CA 90040 3 25th Street Vernon, CA 90058 Source: Hogle-Ireland Inc, 2012 Table 1 Candidate Sites Size Possible acres Ownership Future Use 0.52 Publically owned Residential 2.06 Privately owned Residential 1.61 Publically owned SB2 Zoning (each covering an area of 4 square kilometers or 1.54 square miles). The study concluded that the average of the modeled air toxics concentrations measured at each of the 10 monitoring stations in the Basin equates to a background cancer risk of approximately 1,200 in a million primarily due to diesel exhaust particulate matter (DPM)' The area south of Central Los Angeles, which includes a major transportation corridor as well as the City of Vernon, has background risks ranging from about 1,400 to 1,900 per million. More specifically, according to the MATES III grid, Candidate Sites I and 2 have background risks ranging between 1,565 and 1,840 in one million and Candidate Site 3 has background risks ranging between 1,647 and 1,868 in one million. According to MATES III, about 94 percent of the Basin -wide cancer risk from air pollution is attributed to emissions associated with mobile sources, and about 6 percent of the risk is attributed to toxics emitted from stationary sources, which include industries, and businesses such as dry cleaners and chrome plating operations! The MATES III study found lower ambient concentrations of most of the measured air toxics, as compared to the levels measured in the previous MATES II study conducted dtwing 1998 and 1999. Specifically, benzene and 1,3-butadiene, pollutants generated mainly from vehicles, were down 50 percent and 73 percent, respectively.' The reductions were attributed to air quality control regulations and improved emission control technologies. ' South Coast Air Quality Management District, Final Report: Multiple Air Toxics Fxposure Study in the South Coast Air Basin,.(2008) ES-2. ° South Coast Air Quality Management District, Final Report: Multiple Air Toxics Fxposure Study in the South Coast Air Basin, (2008) ES-2. ' South Coast Air Quality Management District, Final Report: Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study in the South Coast Air Basin, (2008) 2-7. Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 3 ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY The assessment and dispersion modeling methodologies used in the preparation of this HRA were composed of relevant and appropriate procedures presented by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA), California Environmental Protection Agency (Cal/EPA), and the SCAQMD. The methodologies and assumptions offered under this regulatory guidance were used to ensure that the assessment effectively quantified health risk impacts associated with the generation of toxic air contaminant (TAC) emissions from nearby stationary and mobile sources. This report summarizes the protocol used to evaluate the health risks and presents the results of the health risk assessment. Threshold This HRA evaluates cancer and non -cancer chronic and acute impacts from emissions of TACs. TACs are those substances which have been shown or suspected to result in cancer and non -cancer human health impacts from acute or chronic exposure. The SCAQMD Air Quality Analysis Guidance Handbook ("SCAQMD Handbook")' provides thresholds for assessing air quality impacts from land use development projects in the Basin. The SCAQMD Handbook recommends (1) a lifetime probability of contracting cancer greater than 10 in one million (10 x 10'6) as a significance threshold for evaluating incremental cancer impacts from a facility, and (2) a health hazard index of 1.0 as a significance threshold for evaluating non -carcinogenic impacts from a facility? The SCAQMD also recommends a cancer burden threshold of greater than 0.5 excess cancer cases. The cancer burden is the estimated increase in the occurrence of cancer cases in a given population as a result of exposures to TAC emissions. These thresholds are normally applied to new facilities that emit TACs into the surrounding environment and potentially impact off -site sensitive receptors within a '/a mile of the facility. In this case, the Candidate Sites would locate new sensitive receptors into an existing developed area rather than a new source of TACs. This situation presents inherent difficulties when applying the SCAQMD threshold of significance. When locating sensitive receptors, it is common practice to access the risk from sources of TACs, such as facilities, freeways, and rail yards, located within a '/< mile from the site. The risk from these sources is typically considered to represent an incremental increase over the background risk for the area. However, this potentially results in a double counting of impacts as TAC emissions from sources within a % mile of a proposed sensitive receptor site contribute to both the background risk in the area and the site -specific risk at the sensitive receptor site. For example, the risks from the BNSF.Hobart (BNSF) and Union Pacific (UP) rail yards in the City of Commerce and City of Vernon contribute to the background risk in the area as well as site -specific risks at each of the three Candidate Sites. Additionally, with respect to the Candidate Sites, an incremental increase in risk of 10 in one million would represent a relatively small 0.5 to 0.6 percent increase in risk from the MATES III background risk levels. A somewhat South Coast Air Quality Management District, "Air Quality Analysis Guidance Handbook," http://www.agmd.gov/cega/hdbk.httnl, 2011. South Coast Air Quality Management District, SCAQMD Air Quality Significance Thresholds, (2011). Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. " October 15, 2012 Page 4 more meaningful representation of the actual risk that could be expected at the Candidate Sites would be the estimated cancer burden. Although the cancer burden is calculated from the incremental increase in risk, and thus would still potentially result in a double counting of impacts, it would provide an indication as to whether an increase in the incidence of cancer would be expected in a given population due to lifetime exposure to TAC emissions from nearby sources. Thus, this analysis considers a cancer burden greater than 0.5 as an appropriate threshold to evaluate whether the Candidate Sites could result in an incidence of cancer in the expected population. Modeling The primary pathway of exposure to TACs from routine industrial operations is inhalation of airborne emissions emitted lawfully through vents, stacks, or fugitive (non -point) sources. The SCAQMD maintains the Facility Information Detail (FIND) database, a web -based portal which tabulates information about permitted industrial sources by location (address, zip code, municipal jurisdiction, etc.). PCR identified SCAQMD permitted sources of TACs within'/4 mile of each of the candidate sites using the FIND database and from field surveys conducted on February 29, 2012 (no additional permitted sources of TACs were found during the field surveys). A few unpermitted sources such as auto repair shops and small scale auto body paint shops were identified. In addition to permitted and non -permitted stationary sources, mobile sources which have the potential to emit diesel particulate matter (DPW such as rail lines, heavy duty truck warehousing, and freeways were identified through aerial search, field survey, and the SCAQMD MATES III. Health risk impacts are assessed using the California Air Resources Board (CARE) Hotspots Analysis Reporting Program (HARP) version 1.4. The health risk calculation methodology contained in HARP is consistent with the Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) Air Toxics Hot Spots Program Guidance Manual for Preparation of Health Risk Assessments (OEHHA, 2003). The HARP software is currently unable to import line sources (freeways, rail lines) for health risk calculations. Therefore, health risk impacts due to line source emissions were calculated using spreadsheet methodology. OEHHA does not promulgate environmental regulations directly; however, it is responsible for developing and providing toxicological and medical information relevant to decisions involving public health to agencies such as Cal/EPA. The OEHHA Guidance recommends that a 70-year exposure duration be used for determining lifetime residential cancer risks (exposure for 7 days per week, 50 weeks per year). This ensures that a person residing in the vicinity of a facility for a lifetime will be included in the evaluation of risk posed by that facility. The SCAQMD has established a method for calculating cancer burden. The cancer burden is the estimated increase in the occurrence of cancer cases in a given population as a result of exposures to TAC emissions. For the purposes of this BRA, the cancer burden will be calculated for the Candidate Sites. ---- - Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 5 SOURCE IDENTIFICATION P+C R The SCAQMD recommends that sources of TAC emissions within a'/ mile radius (1,320 feet) of a sensitive receptor be included in a local health risk analyses. Therefore, sources of TAC emissions within a'/4 mile radius (1,320 feet) of each of the candidate sites were included in this HRA. A preliminary search was performed using the SCAQMD FIND to identify permitted sources within '/4 mile of each potential housing site. However, the FIND database only contains sources which require permits such as stationary combustion equipment (emergency generators, boilers, spray paint booths, charbroilers, etc.). Other sources that may emit TACs such as body shops, small industrial uses or other uses which may generate a large amount of heavy duty truck trips (warehousing) are not required to obtain an SCAQMD permit (unpermitted source) and are therefore not contained in the FIND database. In addition, mobile sources such as freeways, rail lines and facilities with heavy diesel truck traffic are also not contained within the FIND database. An additional search for unpermitted and mobile source TACs was performed using aerial photo and internet search for sources within'/4 mile of each housing site. Based on the above survey and records review, stationary sources were identified as shown in Figure 2. The following sources were identified near the three potential housing sites: Sites 1& 2: 1. I-710 Freeway 2. Unipolo Fabrics Corporation (5000 District Blvd.) 3. Allied Veneer Company (4901 Fruitland Ave.) 4. Pacific Coast Chemical (5100 District Blvd.) 5. Frey Environmental (5122 S. Atlantic Blvd.) 6. Douglas Drive- In (5208 S. Atlantic Blvd.) 7. Las Trancas, Inc. (5351 Atlantic Blvd.) 8. Ramirez Auto Repair (5504 South Atlantic Blvd.) 9. El Lempira (5516 S. Atlantic Blvd.) 10. Kop-Coat (5431 District Blvd.) 11. Matheson Tri-Gas (5555 District Blvd.) 12. Castrol Industrial North America Inc. (5511 District Blvd.) 13. International Paper (3030 S. Atlantic Blvd.) Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 6 Site 3: 1. Alameda Corridor 2. Prudential Lighting Corporation (1774 E. 21st St.) 3. Continental Fleet Paint and Body (2021 E. 25th St.) 4. Roy Hanson Manufacturing (1960 S. Alameda St.) 5. California Portland Cement Company (2026 E. 27th St.) 6. Forever 21 (2001 S. Alameda St.) SOURCE CHARACTERIZATION Stationary Sources PCR . Contaminant release information and associated chemical species were identified through a review of available documentation for each source referenced above. To the degree practical, all TAC emissions generated from each source location were considered in the analysis. The limiting factor for the inclusion of a compound was the availability of published exposure factors and other toxicity data enabling risks to be quantified and, where appropriate, target organs identified. A list of emitted compounds for each source is outlined in Table 2, Chemical Compounds Emitted From Each Facility. Emissions of TACs from each facility were estimated through interviewing the facility operator or if detailed information is not available; estimates were made using industry -wide averages. A detailed list of sites, activities and pollutants are provided in Appendix A. As discussed previously, Candidate Site 3 is proposed for SB2 zoning (allowing homeless shelters or transitional housing to be developed). Nonetheless, health risk impacts to the site are evaluated for lifetime (i.e., 70 year) exposures. The BNSF Hobart (BNSF) Railyard and the Union Pacific (UP) Railyard are located to the north of all three candidate sites in the City of Commerce and City of Vernon. Although the rail yard is located well beyond the '/4 mile buffer distance, health risks from the rail yard have the potential to impact all three housing sites due to the large amount of diesel particulate emissions. The CARD has conducted an analysis of diesel particulate emissions from the rail yard in the document Health Risk Assessment For the Four Commerce Railyards which estimates. health risk impacts to receptors located within several miles from the rail yard which includes the three potential housing sites (CARB, 2007). Health risk impacts contained in the CARB study will be incorporated into this analysis. Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. c October 15, 2012 - Page 7 Table 2 Chemical Compounds Emitted From Each Facility Facility Name Contaminant Sites 1 & 2 Castro] Industrial North America Inc. benzene, formaldehyde, n-hexane, toluene Allied Veneer benzene, formaldehyde, n-hexane, toluene Continental Fleet Paint and Body 2-butoxyethanol, ethylbenzene, xylene Douglas Burgers (Drive -In) acetaldehyde El Lempira acetaldehyde . Frey Environmental benzene, ethylbenzene, hexane, MTBE International Paper Las Trancas, Inc. Matheson Tri-Gas. Kop-Coat Ramirez Auto Repair Unipolo Fabrics Corporation Site 3 California Portland Cement Company Continental Fleet Paint and Body Forever 21 Prudential Lighting Corporation Roy Hanson Manufacturing Source: - PCR Services Corporation, 2012. Mobile Sources benzene, formaldehyde, n-hexane, styrene, toluene acetaldehyde diesel particulate ethyl benzene, xylene toluene, methanol formaldehyde, benzene, toluene, n-hexane diesel particulate 2-butoxyethanol, ethylbenzene, xylene diesel particulate 2-butoxyethanol, ethylbenzene, xylene 2-butoxyethanol, ethylbenzene, xylene In urban communities, vehicle emissions contribute significantly to localized concentrations of air contaminants. Typically, emissions generated from these sources are characterized by vehicle mix, the rate pollutants are generated during the course of travel and the number of vehicles traversing the roadway network. As Site 2 is located approximately '/a mile from the 1-710 freeway, an analysis of freeway emissions was performed. To produce a representative vehicle fleet distribution, the assessment utilized the fleet mix contained in the EMFAC2011 emissions model. The EMFAC2011 model is based on actual California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) vehicle registration data for each county. Outputs from EMFAC2011 were formatted to calculate emission factors from diesel and non -diesel sources based on an average Los Angeles County fleet mix. Emission factors are generated from a series of computer based programs to produce a composite emission rate for vehicles traveling within a defined geographical area or along a discrete roadway Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP IiOGLE-IRELAND, INC. N"M October 15, 2012 - Page 8 segment. EWAC2011 was utilized to identify pollutant emission rates for total organic gases (TOG) and diesel exhaust particulates. To quantify the generation of hazardous emissions, the TOG emission rate was multiplied by available exhaust fractions for identified compounds promulgated by the USEPA Motor Vehicle -Related Air Toxics Study (USEPA, 1993). A list of emitted compounds for the on -road mobile source category is presented in Table 3, Compounds Emitted From Mobile Source Activity. To determine hourly traffic volumes, the assessment employed available average daily traffic counts published by the California Department. of Transportation (Caltrans), Traffic and Vehicle Data Systems Unit, and reported on the Caltrans Website. Table 3 Compounds Emitted From Mobile Source Activity Source Contaminant Interstate — 710 1,3-butadiene, acetaldehyde, benzene, diesel particulates, formaldehyde Alameda Corridor diesel particulates Source: PCR Service Corporation, 2012. Site 3 is not located within a V4 mile of a freeway; however, it is located adjacent to the Alameda Corridor. Emissions from the I-710 freeway (DPM, gasoline exhaust) and the Alameda corridor (DPM) were included in this HRA. The USEPA has adopted emission standards for locomotives, which are codified in 40 CFR Part 1033. Emissions from locomotives traveling on the BNSFIUP railroads were estimated based on the USEPA emission standards. Appendix B presents the emission rate calculations for each source considered in the assessment. Onsite Contamination Soil sampling has been performed for Site 2 at the request of the City. Sampling performed in October 2011 indicates that the subsurface soils may be contaminated with perchloroethylene, trichlorethylene and a variety of heavy metals (arsenic, nickel, etc.).' Currently, contamination was detected below the surface and will not likely be released to the atmosphere unless disturbed (excavated). The soil sampling report recommended that additional soil sampling be performed to determine the true extent.of the contamination. It is assumed that eventually the site will be remediated through excavation or in -situ treatment prior to development for residential uses. Therefore, soil contamination of Site 2 is not considered in the analysis: s Memo to City of Vernon: Data Presentation — 5119 District Boulevard, Vernon, California. Hazard. Management Consulting, October 2011. Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 9 EXPOSURE QUANTIFICATION In order to assess the impact of emitted compounds on individuals who may reside at the candidate sites, air quality modeling utilizing the AMS/EPA Regulatory Model (AERMOD) model, version 12060, was performed. The model is a steady state Gaussian plume model and is utilized by the USEPA and Cal/EPA for estimating ground level impacts from point and fugitive sources in simple and complex terrain. The model offers additional flexibility by allowing the user to assign initial vertical and lateral dispersion parameters for sources representative of a localized mobile fleet. For this assessment, the line source module was used for the mobile source dispersion estimates. The line source is presented by combining a series of separated volume sources to model the emissions generated from on -road mobile source activity. The model requires additional input parameters including chemicals emission rates and local meteorology data. Inputs for each. emitting source were based on the characterizations referenced above. Meteorological data from the SCAQMD's Downtown LA monitoring station within Source Receptor Area I was used to represent local weather conditions and prevailing winds data. The modeling analysis also considered the spatial distribution of each emitting source in relation to each of the proposed sites. To accommodate the model's Cartesian grid format, direction dependent calculations were obtained by identifying the universal transverse Mercator (UTM) coordinates for each source location. CARCINOGENIC RISK CHARACTERIZATION As mentioned previously, health risk impacts were calculated using the HARP software for stationary sources. HARP is currently unable to directly import line sources, so health risk impacts from line sources (freeways, rail lines) were calculat'pd using the same methodology contained in the HARP software but with the use of spreadsheets. Carcinogenic compounds are not considered to have threshold levels (i.e., dose levels below which there are no risks). Any exposure, therefore, will have some associated risk. Incremental health risks associated with exposure to carcinogenic compounds at the candidate sites can be defined in terms of the probability of developing cancer as a result of exposure to a chemical at a given concentration. Under a deterministic approach (i.e., point estimate methodology), the cancer risk probability is determined by multiplying the chemical's annual concentration by its unit risk factor. (URF); The URF is a measure of the carcinogenic potential of a chemical when a dose is received through the inhalation pathway. It represents an upper bound estimate of the probability of contracting cancer as a result of continuous exposure to an ambient concentration of one microgram per cubic meter (µg/ni) over a 70 year lifetime. In accordance with OEHHA policy, a breathing rate equal to the 80'h percentile should be used in single -point risk management decisions, such as those subject to a threshold or standard, for which Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 10 the cancer risk is entirely associated with inhalation and residential cancer risk are being evaluated (OEHHA, 2003). These two criteria are met for this assessment. Thus, a breathing rate of 302 liters per kilogram of body weight per day was used for the residential cancer risk calculations. For the inhalation pathway, the procedure requires the incorporation of several discrete variables to effectively quantify dose. Once determined, contaminant dose is multiplied by the cancer potency factor (CPF) in units of inverse dose expressed in milligrams per kilogram per day (mg/kg/day)-1 to derive the cancer risk estimate. Therefore, to accommodate the unique exposures associated with the proposed population, the following dose algorithm was utilized. Where; CDI = (CB;, x EF x ED x IR) / (B W x AT) CDI = chronic daily intake (mg/kg/day) Cair = concentration of contaminant in air (mg/m3) EF = exposure frequency (days/year) ED = exposure duration (years) IR = inhalation rate (m3/day) BW = body weight (kg) AT = averaging time (days) The URFs utilized in the assessment and corresponding cancer potency factors were obtained principally from OEHHA guidance. For gasoline vapors, the toxicity value presented in the former CAPCOA Air Toxic Hot Spots Program Risk Assessment Guidelines. was utilized (CAPCOA, 1993). This was done to ensure a conservative (i.e., health protective) assessment by accounting for the mass generation of product vapors rather than reducing the risk estimate by limiting source strength based upon the fraction of benzene in the vapor phase. For compounds not listed in the OEHHA database, toxicity values from the USEPA, Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS) were utilized, The estimated cancer burden was calculated for each candidate site based on an estimated residential population 100 residents, the cancer risk impacts calculated from the AERMOD dispersion model output, and the methodology provided in the SCAQMD Risk Assessment Procedures for Rules 1401 and 212, Version 7.0 (SCAQMD, 2005). CHRONIC AND ACUTE IMPACT CHARACTERIZATION An evaluation of the potential non -cancer effects of chronic chemical exposures was also conducted. Under the point estimate approach, adverse health effects are evaluated by comparing the annual ground level concentration of each chemical compound with the appropriate Reference Exposure Level (REL). Available RELs promulgated by OEHHA were considered in the assessment. For compounds not listed in the OEHHA database, RELs from the Consolidated Table of OEHHA/ARB Approved Risk Assessment Health Values were utilized. When identified, USEPA Reference Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP pl 14i HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. ! ` October 15, 2012 -Page 11 Concentrations (RfCs) reported in this table were substituted with updated values from the IRIS database. In the absence of published inhalation REL/RfC values, a compound's available oral reference dose was employed by assuming equal absorption by the inhalation and oral routes. When inhalation and/or oral toxicity values were not available, informal inhalation concentrations were developed by converting occupational exposure levels (Le., Threshold Limit Values) derived by the American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists to a lifetime exposure, as follows: (TLV in mg/m3) x (20 m3/day) / [(420) x (70 kg)] = mg/kg/day The exposure level expressed in mg/kg/day may additionally be converted to ❑g/m3 by the following: (mg/kg/day) x (70 kg) x (1,000 µg/mg) / (20 m3/day) = µg/m3 To quantify non -carcinogenic impacts, the hazard index approach was used. The approach assumes that chronic sub -threshold exposures adversely affect a specific organ or organ system (toxicological endpoint). For each discrete .chemical exposure, target organs presented in regulatory guidance were utilized. When informal concentrations were developed, endpoints identified in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health Pocket Guide to Chemical Hazards were employed. To calculate the hazard index, each chemical's concentration or dose is divided by the appropriate toxicity value. For compounds affecting the same toxicological endpoint, this ratio is summed. Where the total is equal to or exceeds one, a health hazard is presumed to exist. In a manner consistent with the assessment of carcinogenic exposures, REL/RfC values were converted to units expressed in mg/kg/day to accommodate the above referenced intake algorithm. HEALTH RisK ASSESSMENT RESULTS Carcinogenic Risks For carcinogenic exposures, the summation of risk and cancer burden is provided for each Candidate Site in Table 4, Results of Health Risk Assessment. Cancer risk is calculated in terms of the number of people who are expected to develop cancer per million people exposed. Cancer burden values apply cancer risk values to actual population values and represent the number of people who may develop cancer as a result of exposure to pollutants. As mentioned previously, the SCAQMD has developed thresholds for residential uses based on cancer risk and cancer burden. SCAQMD cancer risk thresholds are incremental thresholds which apply to new stationary sources. The cancer burden threshold is more appropriate as it takes into account ambient cancer risk due to existing facilities in the area and the anticipated risk for a given population. Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 12 Candidate Site 1 Candidate Site 2 Candidate Site 3 Candidate Site 1 Candidate Site 2 Candidate Site 3 Table 4 Results of Health Risk Assessment Incremental Cancer Risk (increase in chance of contracting 10 in one million 26 in one million 690 in one millior 210 in one million 226 in one million 715 in one million " Assumes direct exposure (no air filtration systems in place) Based on a population of 100 people at each site. Source: PCR Service Corporation, 2012, 0.001 0,003 0.02 0.02 0.07 As mentioned previously, the candidate housing sites are located near the BNSF/UP rail yard which emits high levels of diesel particulate emissions. Cancer risk calculated by the CARB for the rail yard indicates that residents at Sites 1 and 2 will be exposed to cancer risk values of approximately 200 in a million while residents at Site 3 will be exposed to 25 in a million cancer risk due to the rail yard. According to the results of the analysis, the cancer burden indicates that TAC exposures from sources within a '/a mile radius are not anticipated to pose an actual or potential endangerment to persons who reside at the candidate sites since the cancer burden is less than 0.5. As shown in Table 4, the cancer burden would be lower at Candidate Site 1 when compared to Site 2. Therefore, based on a qualitative ranking, Candidate Sites 1 would have a lower potential for routine exposure compared to Site 2. Candidate Site 3 has a higher TAC exposure than Sites 1 and 2 due to the proximity to the Alameda corridor. It should be noted however, transitional housing tends to be temporary in nature, whereas carcinogenic properties of TACs are based on a hypothetical lifetime (70-year) continuous exposure. Because SB2 housing is more likely to be equipped with non -operational windows and a central ventilation system with minimum efficient reporting value (MERV) filtration (allowing for cost- effective filtering of incoming air) as compared to individual residential units, the site could be Health Risk Assessment for the Four Commerce Railyards. CARB Stationary Source Division, 2007. Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 13 compatible with temporary or transitional housing. Detailed health risk calculations are provided in Appendix C. AERMOD dispersion modeling files are available electronically as Appendix D. Non -Carcinogenic Impacts For non -carcinogenic effects, the hazard index identified for the maximum impacted toxicological endpoint is provided for each Candidate Site in Table 5, Results of Non -Cancer Impacts. The hazard index identified for each toxicological endpoint totaled less than one for receptors at all Candidate Sites. Therefore, chronic and acute non -carcinogenic hazards were predicted to be within acceptable limits. Table 5 Results of Non -Cancer Impacts Hazard Indices 1H11 Receptor Candidate Site 1 Candidate Site 2 Candidate Site 3 Source: PCR Service Corporation, 2011. ACUTE HAZARDOUS MATERIALS Chronic Acute (1-Hour) 0.003 0.03 0.003 0.03 0.001 0.02 PCR conducted a constraints analysis as part of the first phase of the siting studies. The constraints analysis included an assessment of acutely hazardous materials (AHM), such as ammonia for refrigeration purposes, among others, which could be accidentally released through an upset condition (man-made or act of nature). . These AHMs are regulated through the California Accidental Release Prevention Program (CALARP) and requires that facilities that store or use a regulated substance (RS) in amounts above a compound -specific threshold quantity (TQ) identify likely and worst -case accidental release scenarios and prepare an offshe consequence analysis (OCA) for each. The suitability of future residential uses at each of the candidate sites was assessed by evaluating whether the site is located beyond the distance to the toxic endpoint (TE) identified in the OCA for each regulated substance at nearby facilities with regulated substances. As indicated in the constraints analysis, Candidate Sites 1-3 are not expected to be impacted by AHMs. Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 14 OTHER RISKS Active Rail Lines Candidate Site 1 is not located in close proximity to active rail lines. Site 2 is transected by an existing rail lines; however, it is seldom used and terminates at East Slauson Avenue. Since the rail line near Site 2 terminates at East Slauson, it is unlikely that significant rail traffic would be passing through the area. Site 3 is located near the BNSF/UP rail lines, which currently serve the BNSF and UP Railyards. Based on data from the Federal Railroad Administration (IRA), five highway -rail accidents occurred between 2008 and 2012.10 However, there have been no instances of train derailment or accidents associated with pedestrian and street crossings for the portion of the rail lines in the vicinity of Site 3. In addition, the Alameda corridor running near Site 3 is below grade protected by security fencing. It is recommended that homeless shelters or transitional housing developed on Site 3 include appropriate on -site warning signs and physical barriers to prevent unauthorized pedestrian and vehicular access to the rail lines. It is expected that with the appropriate measures in place, the potential hazards from active rail lines would be minimized. Overhead Power Lines Overhead power lines typically seen in established communities and residential neighborhoods are located along streets in the vicinity of each of the three Candidate Sites, including along streets directly adjacent to the Sites. The Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) transmission corridor abutting the east side of the Los 'Angeles River is located approximately 900 feet (275 meters) to the northeast of Site 1 and 500 feet (150 meters) to the northeast of Site 2. The California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) requested that scientists from the California Department of Health Services (DHS) analyze the possible health problems from electric and magnetic fields (EMFs) from power lines, wiring in buildings, some jobs, and appliances (cell phones and radio towers were not included in the review). The analysis is described in the California EMF Program report, An Evaluation of the Possible Risks From Electric and Magnetic Fields (EMFs) From Power Lines, Internal Wiring, Electrical Occupations, and Appliances (DHS, June 2002). The analysis is based on a literature review of the results of published research studies, including the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS) Working Group Report (Assessment of Health Effects from Exposure to Power -Line Frequency Electric and Magnetic Fields, 1998), and the results of the California EMF Program Studies. After reviewing the available evidence, the DHS scientists concluded that, to one degree or another, the DHS scientists were inclined to believe that EMFs can cause some degree of increased risk of childhood leukemia, adult brain cancer; Lou Gehrig's Disease, and miscarriage. The degree of certainty amongst the scientists that exposure to EMFs can increase these health risks to some degree was over 50 on a scale of 1 to 100. However, there was no consensus if the increase in risks should be considered close to the dividing line between believing or not believing (40 to 60), prone to believe (60 to 90), or strongly 10 Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety Analysis Crossing Accident Data. Accessed October 1, 2012 Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 15 believe (90 to 99.5). None of the risks were considered virtually certain (>99.5) by any of the DHS scientists that reviewed the research. The analysis also noted that "[wjith the exception of miscarriage, which is common, the other diseases for which EMFs may be a contributing cause (childhood leukemia, adult brain cancer, Lou Gehrig's Disease) have low incidence, with rates between 1/100,000 and 1/10,000 a year. Even doubling such rates and accumulating them over a childhood or a lifetime leaves accumulated lifetime risks between 1/1,000 and 1%. Thus the vast majority (990/-99.9%) of highly exposed people would still not contract these diseases." According to NEIHS, Electric and Magnetic Fields Associated with the Use of Electric Power: Questions & Answers, "[ajt a distance of 300 feet and at times of average electricity demand, the magnetic fields from many lines can be similar to typical background levels found in most homes" (NEIHS, June 200). As noted above, the LADWP transmission corridor is located in excess of 300 feet (91 meters) from the Candidate Sites. In addition, while overhead power lines are located along streets directly adjacent to the Candidate Sites, they are not substantially different or more clustered than overhead power lines in other nearby neighborhoods. Therefore, the potential risks from IMF exposure are not expected to be substantially different at the Candidate Sites compared to other locations in the area. Underground Utilities/High Pressure Pipelines A diagram of the gas system pipelines in the City of Vernon is provided in Figure 3, City of Vernon Gas System Index. As shown in the figure, the Candidate Sites are located adjacent to gas pipelines. The pipelines are operated.by the City's Light and Power Department and regulated by the CPUC. A diagram of the potentially hazardous pipelines in the City of Vernon is provided in Figure 4, City of Vernon Hazardous Pipeline Model. The City of Vernon has a number of pipelines that service industrial facilities. According to the City of Vernon Natural Hazards Mitigation Plan, "the City of .Vernon is particularly vulnerable to pipeline ruptures because of the abundance of pipelines serving the industrial facilities" (City of Vernon, October 2004). According to the Mitigation Plan, "[t]he pipeline posing the greatest threat is a 26" diameter pipeline located on Downey Road. It runs north and south, the entire length of Downey Road, continuing into the City of Los Angeles to the north; to the south to Malburg Way, and into the City of Huntington Park." The Mitigation Plan also notes that there are several small gasoline pipelines in the City. "The one of greatest concern is a 12" diameter pipeline owned by Mobil Oil, naming from the western boundary of the City at Alameda Street; east on Slauson Avenue to Santa Fe Avenue; north to 38th Street; and east into the Mobil Oil Treatment Plant." The Candidate Sites are all located in excess of 1 mile from the 26" diameter natural gas pipeline located on Downey Road. Candidate Sites 1 and 2 are not located in the vicinity of the 12" diameter gasoline pipeline owned by Mobil Oil, while Candidate Site 3 is located approximately 0.5 miles from the pipeline. As shown in Figure 4, Candidate Site 3 is adjacent to the Southern Pacific Pipe Lines. While some risk is associated with the presence of natural gas and gasoline pipelines, the Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. i r October 15, 2012 - Page 16 potential risks from underground utilities/high pressure pipelines are not expected to be substantially greater at the Candidate Sites compared to other locations in the area. SUMMARY AND UNCERTAINTIES The following qualitative ranking of residential land use suitability has been developed based on a review of facilities within close proximity to the three candidate sites which routinely emit TACs. Most Compatible. Site 1 is the most compatible, resulting in the lowest exposure to TACs and the lowest cancer burden. Nonetheless, controls to reduce risks and exposures are recommended. • Hiehly Compatible. Site 2 is highly compatible but the proximity to the 710 freeway will result in elevated risk. It is recommended that enhanced filtration be installed to reduce risks and exposures Least Compatible. Site 3 is the least compatible due to the proximity to the Alameda Corridor. It is highly recommended that enhanced filtration be installed to reduce risks and exposures. The major contributor of cancer risk at each of the three sites is attributed to diesel particulates from the Alameda corridor, BNSFXP rail yards and the I-710 freeway. Although the project site is located in an area with elevated cancer risk, it is recommended that each potential housing site be developed with enhanced filtration and inoperable windows, as detailed below. In orderto reduce impacts resulting from diesel particulates, the following project features are recommended: Project Feature 1: All housing sites shall include air filtration systems designed to have a MERV of 13 as indicated by the American Society of Heating Refrigerating and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) Standard 52.2. The air handling systems shall be maintained on a regular basis per manufacturer's recommendations by a qualified technician employed or contracted by the project proponent or successor. Operation and maintenance of the system shall ensure that it performs at or above the minimum reporting value. Project Feature 2: Site 43 (SB2 zoning) shall be designed with sealed inoperable windows combined with HVAC systems specified in Project Feature I. The BNSF/UP rail yards health risk assessment cancer risk values includes other sources surrounding the rail yard such as rail lines and other diesel particulate emissions. Therefore, the incorporation of the BNSF/UP rail yard HRA may overestimate actual impacts. Nonetheless, health Ms. Laura Stetson, AICP HOGLE-IRELAND, INC. October 15, 2012 - Page 17 / .PC.R risk impacts from the rail yards alone will result in elevated cancer and health risk impacts to future residents. LIST OT ATTACHMENTS Figure 1 - City of Vernon Housing Element — Potential Housing Sites Figure 2 — City of Vernon Housing Element— Stationary TAC Sources Figure 3 — City of Vernon Gas System Index Figure 4 — City of Vernon Hazardous Pipeline Model Appendix A —Air Pollutant Emitting Sources Appendix B - Emission Rate Calculations Appendix C — Incremental Cancer Risk and Cancer Burden Calculations (HARP Output Files) Appendix D — AERMOD Model Output File V'. 5,, nY'i i.. ' 'P. �'�\r h' � eii x i i�i'� i i ` . �.. ?i k r, j i� F s � ��,���g � � 0 �� �Y � �''+ �� � �� F{!� 4i �� i ° ' ; � e At e, �� l � A �� t ' C � t . i ;t� �1 � 1 Y G yj 1 ( �,���. �fs __ i i .. .. 1A�. � Legend Potential Housing Site J :L 3 is ne- i'i1Gri l � �`�• °�"� Fv7Y n ' �kx'r( I II�i .. �5i4`� t�"`� i li i n - ,I VVatili yl�n Hir (1 - lyv 1v-. 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